Integrated National-Scale Assessment of Wildfire Risk to Human and Ecological Values
U.S. federal land managers are challenged to meet societal needs by spatial, temporal, and social dimensions of wildfire risk. Presented here is quantitative, geospatial wildfire risk assessment tool developed to be used in meeting demands for improved risk-based decision frameworks. The tool is intended for monitoring trends in wildfire risk over time, and the method for it is based on recent advancements in wildfire simulation models and geospatial data acquisition and management. The risk assessment analyzes the likelihood of wildfire by level of intensity, and magnitude of effects to resources at the different intensity levels. Strategic planning that considers social, economic, and ecological values is supported by this effort, and the presented results for the continental United States by region examines how risk evaluations change under different assumptions to sensitity.
Thompson, M.P., Calkin, D.E., Finney, M.A. et al. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess (2011) 25: 761. doi:10.1007/s00477-011-0461-0